Chigoziem Okonkwo Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Chigoziem Okonkwo

NFL · Player Props

Chigoziem Okonkwo

TE · Tennessee Titans

Receptions

Tennessee Titans vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 16, 2025

Updated Dec 21, 2025 8:07 PM UTC

Analysis

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-156/+125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Titans are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
Chig Okonkwo's 26.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the best in football: 76th percentile for tight ends.
The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has been gouged for the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (87%) vs. tight ends this year (87.0%).

Favors Under

The model projects the Titans to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.4 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the 8th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 54.9 plays per game.
Opposing teams teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Kansas City Chiefs, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 31.7 per game) this year.
The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers project as the 6th-best LB corps in the league this year in covering receivers.

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