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Chigoziem Okonkwo

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Tennessee Titans vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Chigoziem Okonkwo Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-156/+125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Titans are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
  • Chig Okonkwo's 26.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the best in football: 76th percentile for tight ends.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has been gouged for the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (87%) vs. tight ends this year (87.0%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Titans to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.4 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans have run the 8th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 54.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Kansas City Chiefs, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 31.7 per game) this year.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers project as the 6th-best LB corps in the league this year in covering receivers.

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