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Chigoziem Okonkwo

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Chigoziem Okonkwo Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Titans are a giant 7-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Titans offense to be the 8th-quickest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 27.55 seconds per play.
  • With an elite 14.2% Target Rate (79th percentile) this year, Chig Okonkwo ranks among the tight ends with the most usage in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 7th-least pass-centric team in the NFL (59.0% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Titans.
  • This year, the imposing Houston Texans defense has allowed a mere 71.2% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the 7th-best rate in the NFL.
  • When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Houston's group of LBs has been fantastic this year, ranking as the 10th-best in the NFL.

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