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Chigoziem Okonkwo

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Denver Broncos vs Tennessee Titans

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-122/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +109 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's line indicates an extreme passing game script for the Titans, who are enormous -8-point underdogs.

The Broncos defense has been a well-known pass funnel last year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (36.6 per game) last year.

The predictive model expects Chigoziem Okonkwo to accumulate 5.2 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 86th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

With an extraordinary 13.9% Target Rate (80th percentile) last year, Chigoziem Okonkwo stands as one of the TEs with the highest volume in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 6th-least pass-focused team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.7% pass rate.

The leading projections forecast the Titans to run the 2nd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.9 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The 9th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Titans last year (a measly 56.5 per game on average).

When talking about pass-blocking (and the impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Titans ranks as the 9th-worst in football last year.

The Broncos pass defense has yielded the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (71%) to tight ends last year (71.0%).

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