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Chigoziem Okonkwo

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Chigoziem Okonkwo Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-110/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Titans are an enormous 14.5-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Titans to pass on 66.7% of their plays: the highest rate on the slate this week.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.
  • The Colts defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (40.4 per game) this year.
  • Our trusted projections expect Chig Okonkwo to earn 5.8 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 80th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are projected by the projections to call just 61.9 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The Tennessee Titans have run the 10th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 54.4 plays per game.
  • Chig Okonkwo's 69.1% Adjusted Catch Rate this year signifies a substantial drop-off in his receiving prowess over last year's 76.1% mark.
  • Chig Okonkwo has been one of the least effective receivers in the league among tight ends, averaging a mere 6.19 adjusted yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 20th percentile.
  • Chig Okonkwo's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year represents a substantial diminishment in his efficiency in space over last year's 4.9% mark.

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