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Chigoziem Okonkwo

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Tennessee Titans vs New England Patriots

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 39.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Titans are an enormous 7-point underdog in this game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.

In this week's contest, Chig Okonkwo is forecasted by the model to rank in the 82nd percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.4 targets.

Chig Okonkwo has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack, earning a Target Share of 16.8% this year, which places him in the 84th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Chig Okonkwo comes in as one of the top pass-catching TEs this year, averaging a remarkable 29.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 79th percentile.

The Patriots pass defense has been torched for the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (84.9%) vs. tight ends this year (84.9%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Titans are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call just 62.5 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-fewest on the slate this week.

Windy weather conditions (like the 19-mph being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with lessened passing efficiency, lower air volume, and increased ground volume.

Chig Okonkwo's ability to pick up extra yardage has worsened this year, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 4.87 rate last year.

When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, New England's collection of LBs has been outstanding this year, grading out as the 10th-best in football.

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