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Chigoziem Okonkwo

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (+106/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 32.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 32.5 @ -113.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Titans, who are huge -7.5-point underdogs.

The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 59.9% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 129.3 offensive plays run: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

Our trusted projections expect Chig Okonkwo to accrue 6.0 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 90th percentile when it comes to TEs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the significance it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the Titans ranks as the 9th-worst in the league since the start of last season.

Chig Okonkwo's 71.2% Adjusted Completion% this season signifies an impressive diminishment in his pass-catching skills over last season's 76.1% rate.

Chig Okonkwo's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season indicates an impressive reduction in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last season's 4.9% figure.

The Houston Texans defense has allowed the 9th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 43.0) to TEs since the start of last season.

The Texans pass defense has yielded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (69.8%) versus tight ends since the start of last season (69.8%).

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