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Chigoziem Okonkwo

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is implied by the Titans being a -6-point underdog this week.

In this week's game, Chig Okonkwo is anticipated by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 87th percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.5 targets.

Chig Okonkwo has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack, posting a Target Share of 14.3% since the start of last season, which places him in the 78th percentile when it comes to TEs.

Chig Okonkwo has notched a massive 22.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 77th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Since the start of last season, the porous Colts defense has surrendered a colossal 56.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing tight ends: the 5th-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 8th-least pass-centric team in the league (context-neutralized) right now with a 58.4% pass rate.

Our trusted projections expect the Titans to run the 5th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.7 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The Titans O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all pass game metrics across the board.

Chig Okonkwo's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 76.1% to 67.0%.

Chig Okonkwo's 5.1 adjusted yards per target this season marks a material decrease in his pass-catching skills over last season's 6.4 mark.

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