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Chigoziem Okonkwo

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Chigoziem Okonkwo Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 41.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 13.5-point advantage, the Titans are a huge favorite in this week's game, indicating much more of a reliance on rushing than their standard game plan.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Titans to pass on 50.7% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • The Jaguars defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in the league (39.8 per game) this year.
  • The leading projections forecast Chig Okonkwo to garner 7.1 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to tight ends.
  • The projections expect Chig Okonkwo to be a more important option in his offense's passing game this week (21.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (14.9% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Titans to run the 8th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • Chig Okonkwo's skills in picking up extra yardage have worsened this year, compiling a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 4.87 mark last year.
  • This year, the daunting Jaguars defense has yielded the 10th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing TEs: a paltry 7.3 yards.
  • As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Jacksonville's group of LBs has been great this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the league.

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