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Chigoziem Okonkwo

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Tennessee Titans vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Chigoziem Okonkwo Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the model to see 133.4 offensive plays called: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect Chig Okonkwo to accrue 4.9 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 78th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
  • With an extraordinary 14.5% Target% (79th percentile) this year, Chig Okonkwo stands among the tight ends with the biggest workloads in football.
  • Chig Okonkwo ranks in the 75th percentile among TEs this year with a staggering 8.8% of his offense's air yards accumulated.
  • When it comes to linebackers rushing the passer, New Orleans's collection of LBs has been atrocious this year, profiling as the 8th-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 9th-least pass-focused team in football (58.6% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Tennessee Titans.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Saints, averaging the fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 29.0 per game) this year.
  • Chig Okonkwo's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season reflects an impressive decrease in his effectiveness in space over last season's 4.9% mark.
  • This year, the tough Saints defense has allowed the 8th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing tight ends: a meager 7.2 yards.

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