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Chigoziem Okonkwo

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

San Francisco 49ers vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Chigoziem Okonkwo Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-114/-117).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -12.5-point disadvantage, the Titans are heavy underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.
  • The predictive model expects the Tennessee Titans as the 6th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 61.0% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The 49ers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inciting opposing teams to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (36.1 per game) this year.
  • With a sizeable 65.1% Route% (76th percentile) this year, Chig Okonkwo places among the TEs with the most usage in football.
  • In this game, Chig Okonkwo is expected by our trusted projection set to land in the 76th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 4.5 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Titans are predicted by the model to call only 62.2 total plays in this contest: the 2nd-fewest among all teams this week.
  • Chig Okonkwo's talent in generating extra yardage have declined this season, notching a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 4.87 figure last season.
  • The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has conceded the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (70.8%) vs. tight ends this year (70.8%).
  • The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has displayed strong efficiency against tight ends this year, yielding 6.75 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-fewest in the league.

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