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Chase Edmonds

Chase Edmonds Receptions
Player Prop Week 20

Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Chase Edmonds Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +155 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Buccaneers are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Chase Edmonds's receiving reliability have improved this season, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 58.2% to 83.3%.
  • The Detroit Lions safeties project as the worst group of safeties in the league this year in covering receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Buccaneers to call the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • Chase Edmonds's 17.3% Route Participation% this season represents a substantial decline in his passing game workload over last season's 31.8% figure.
  • The Lions pass defense has allowed the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (70.2%) to running backs this year (70.2%).

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