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Chase Edmonds

Chase Edmonds Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints

Chase Edmonds Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to have 132.4 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.

Chase Edmonds's receiving reliability have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 58.2% to 87.6%.

With an exceptional 11.75 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (85th percentile) this year, Chase Edmonds has been among the top pass-catching RBs in football in space.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 11th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 55.7% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Chase Edmonds's 3.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive usage) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 9.2.

Chase Edmonds grades out as one of the bottom pass-catching running backs this year, averaging a measly 4.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 13th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Chase Edmonds's pass-catching efficiency has tailed off this season, averaging a mere 4.76 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 6.08 figure last season.

This year, the formidable New Orleans Saints defense has yielded a feeble 21.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing RBs: the 2nd-best in football.

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