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Chase Claypool Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-155/+115).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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THE BLITZ projects this game to have the most plays run on the slate this week at 138.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 7th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 60.5 plays per game.THE BLITZ projects Chase Claypool to total 6.6 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 76th percentile among wideouts.The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.Chase Claypool has been among the top pass-catching wide receivers since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 3.7 receptions per game while checking in at the 76th percentile.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Steelers are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.Chase Claypool's 34.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 50.0.The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line has allowed their QB a measly 2.19 seconds before the pass (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass attack stats across the board.The Pittsburgh Steelers have utilized play action on just 18.5% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (3rd-least in the NFL), making the offense more predictable and lowering passing effectiveness.The Pittsburgh Steelers have elected to go for it on 4th down a lowly 14.9% of the time since the start of last season (5th-least in football), which generally means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.
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