Chase Claypool Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Chase Claypool

NFL · Player Props

Chase Claypool

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 23, 2022 12:15 AM UTC

Analysis

Chase Claypool Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-101/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 40.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 36.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Steelers are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 9th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 63.9 plays per game.
Chase Claypool has notched a monstrous 76.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 82nd percentile among wide receivers.
Chase Claypool's 48.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in football: 78th percentile for wide receivers.
The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to run the 11th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weather report calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
Chase Claypool's receiving effectiveness has diminished this year, notching a measly 4.65 yards-per-target compared to a 8.22 rate last year.
The Cleveland Browns pass defense has yielded the 9th-lowest Completion% in football (64.6%) vs. wide receivers since the start of last season (64.6%).
The Cleveland Browns linebackers profile as the best LB corps in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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