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Chase Claypool

Chase Claypool Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 7

Miami Dolphins vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Chase Claypool Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+289/-504).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +315 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +289.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Steelers are a huge 7.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.

Chase Claypool has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 16.7% this year, which places him in the 77th percentile among WRs.

The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line grades out as the 10th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game metrics across the board.

Chase Claypool's sure-handedness have improved this season, with his Completion% jumping from 58.3% to 68.3%.

The Miami Dolphins safeties profile as the 6th-worst collection of safeties in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the least total plays among all teams this week with 60.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Chase Claypool has compiled quite a few less air yards this year (62.0 per game) than he did last year (81.0 per game).

Chase Claypool's 40.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 50.0.

The Miami Dolphins pass defense has allowed the 7th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (62.4%) to WRs this year (62.4%).

The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line has afforded their QB just 2.19 seconds before the pass (worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

More Chase Claypool Player Props

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