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Chase Brown

Chase Brown Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

Cincinnati Bengals vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Chase Brown Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+100/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bengals may throw the ball less in this week's contest (and call more carries) since they be rolling out backup quarterback Joe Flacco.
  • This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Bengals, who are -3-point underdogs.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Bengals to pass on 66.3% of their opportunities: the highest clip on the slate this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 63.2% red zone pass rate.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-most plays run among all games this week at 134.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have run the 6th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 52.6 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Chicago Bears, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 28.0 per game) this year.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line grades out as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all pass game stats across the board.
  • Chase Brown's ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 87.0% to 80.3%.

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