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Chase Brown Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

Denver Broncos vs Cincinnati Bengals

Chase Brown Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+140/-158).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -172 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -158.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bengals will be rolling out backup QB Jake Browning in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

The Bengals are a big 7.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Bengals as the 4th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 63.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The model projects the Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-oriented team in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 59.6% red zone pass rate.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 130.2 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all RBs, Chase Brown grades out in the 94th percentile for red zone rush attempts since the start of last season, taking on 65.3% of the workload in his team's run game near the goal line.

In regards to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Bengals profiles as the worst in the league since the start of last season.

Chase Brown's 72.5% Adjusted Completion% this season reflects a meaningful diminishment in his receiving skills over last season's 87.0% rate.

Chase Brown ranks in the 1st percentile among running backs when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging a lowly 0.00 per game.

Chase Brown has run for 0.25 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the largest figures in football when it comes to running backs (78th percentile).

More Chase Brown Player Props

Chase Brown TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 4

Denver Broncos vs Cincinnati Bengals

Chase Brown Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4