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Chase Brown

Chase Brown Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 18

Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Chase Brown Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-156/+122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -156.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 61.4% of their plays: the 5th-highest rate on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast the Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 62.1% red zone pass rate.
  • The projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to call the 10th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.9 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually lead to increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume.
  • Chase Brown has accrued a massive 4.0 air yards per game this year: 94th percentile when it comes to running backs. (That may not sound like very many, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Bengals being a massive -8.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense this year: 4th-fewest in football.
  • Chase Brown has received 65.3% of his offense's red zone carries this year, placing him in the 96th percentile among running backs.
  • Chase Brown's 81.4% Adjusted Catch Rate this season represents an impressive diminishment in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 87.1% rate.
  • Chase Brown has run for 0.35 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the biggest figures in the NFL among RBs (77th percentile).

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