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Chase Brown

Chase Brown Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Denver Broncos vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Chase Brown Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 53.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 48.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 53.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 130.2 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • This week, Chase Brown is predicted by the predictive model to land in the 95th percentile among running backs with 17.8 carries.
  • After making up 63.8% of his team's run game usage last year, Chase Brown has been called on more in the ground game this year, now making up 80.7%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bengals will be rolling out backup QB Jake Browning in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • The Bengals are a big 7.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to run on 36.3% of their plays: the lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • Chase Brown's 22.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season marks a noteworthy decrease in his running skills over last season's 63.0 rate.
  • Chase Brown's 1.9 adjusted yards per carry this season represents a substantial reduction in his rushing talent over last season's 4.4 rate.

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