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Chase Brown

Chase Brown Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Cincinnati Bengals vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Chase Brown Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 68.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 68.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 68.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread indicates a rushing game script for the Bengals, who are favored by 3.5 points.

In this contest, Chase Brown is predicted by the projections to place in the 93rd percentile when it comes to running backs with 17.4 carries.

Our trusted projections expect Chase Brown to be a much bigger part of his team's run game in this game (76.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (65.6% in games he has played).

Chase Brown has grinded out 62.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the highest marks in the league among RBs (87th percentile).

Opposing squads have rushed for the 7th-most adjusted yards in the league (134 per game) against the Jaguars defense since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to run on 36.3% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest rate among all teams this week.

The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 125.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may drop.

Chase Brown's 2.0 adjusted yards per carry this year signifies a material decrease in his rushing skills over last year's 4.4 rate.

The Jacksonville Jaguars safeties rank as the 4th-best collection of safeties in football since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

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