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Chase Brown Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (-125/-105).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 55.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 60.5 @ -125.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Bengals being a massive -8.5-point underdog in this week's contest.The Cincinnati Bengals offense has played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the league (in a neutral context) this year, averaging 28.22 seconds per snap.The leading projections forecast Chase Brown to earn 15.5 rush attempts this week, on balance, putting him in the 86th percentile when it comes to RBs.Chase Brown has garnered 67.5% of his offense's rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile among RBs.With a fantastic tally of 54.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (84th percentile), Chase Brown rates among the leading running backs in football this year.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The model projects the Bengals as the 2nd-least run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 38.2% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually lead to increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume.The Cleveland Browns defense owns the 8th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, yielding just 4.18 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).The Cleveland defensive ends rank as the best unit in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.
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