Chase Brown Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals

Chase Brown Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's line suggests a running game script for the Bengals, who are favored by 3.5 points.

The model projects Chase Brown to notch 12.5 carries in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 75th percentile among running backs.

Opposing teams have rushed for the 6th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (135 per game) vs. the Miami Dolphins defense this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 3rd-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 37.6% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bengals are predicted by the projection model to call just 61.2 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.

The predictive model expects Chase Brown to be a less important option in his team's run game in this game (54.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (67.3% in games he has played).

Chase Brown has rushed for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (50.0) this year than he did last year (63.0).

The Miami Dolphins linebackers grade out as the 6th-best LB corps in the league this year in regard to run defense.

More Chase Brown Player Props

Chase Brown Rushing YardsPlayer Prop Week 16

Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals

Chase Brown Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16