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Chase Brown

Chase Brown Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Chase Brown Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 51.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 51.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect Chase Brown to earn 13.1 rush attempts in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 75th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Opposing squads have run for the 3rd-most adjusted yards in the league (140 per game) vs. the Buffalo Bills defense this year.
  • The Bills safeties grade out as the 31st-worst safety corps in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bengals are a 6-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 7th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 40.0% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bengals are expected by the projection model to call only 62.8 offensive plays in this game: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • While Chase Brown has garnered 69.4% of his offense's run game usage in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be much less involved in Cincinnati's run game this week at 52.1%.
  • Chase Brown has run for many fewer adjusted yards per game (52.0) this year than he did last year (63.0).

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