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Chase Brown

Chase Brown Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Cincinnati Bengals vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Chase Brown Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-107/-127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 59.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 54.5 @ -127.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to have 130.8 offensive plays called: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect Chase Brown to total 16.4 rush attempts in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 84th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Out of all running backs, Chase Brown ranks in the 98th percentile for carries this year, making up 70.5% of the workload in his offense's run game.
  • With an outstanding total of 3.29 yards after contact (80th percentile), Chase Brown places as one of the strongest RBs in football this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bengals may throw the ball less in this game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup quarterback Joe Flacco.
  • This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Bengals, who are giant -7-point underdogs.
  • The model projects the Bengals to be the least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 31.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The Bengals have called the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a mere 53.7 plays per game.
  • Chase Brown's 46.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year reflects a material diminishment in his running skills over last year's 63.0 mark.

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