Chase Brown Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Chase Brown

NFL · Player Props

Chase Brown

RB · Cincinnati Bengals

Rushing Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 15, 2024

Updated Dec 16, 2024 4:01 AM EST

Analysis

Chase Brown Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 67.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 65.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 67.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bengals are a 6-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a running game script.
The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
This week, Chase Brown is projected by our trusted projection set to place in the 89th percentile when it comes to RBs with 17.6 rush attempts.
The predictive model expects Chase Brown to be a more integral piece of his team's running game in this week's contest (74.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (57.8% in games he has played).
Chase Brown has rushed for many more adjusted yards per game (57.0) this season than he did last season (16.0).

Favors Under

The projections expect the Bengals as the 3rd-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 37.0% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 128.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans defense owns the 7th-best efficiency against opposing run games this year, surrendering just 4.24 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Tennessee's collection of DTs has been outstanding this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in the league.

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