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Chase Brown

Chase Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Denver Broncos vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Chase Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-190/+145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bengals will be rolling out backup QB Jake Browning in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • The Bengals are a big 7.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Bengals as the 4th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 63.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 130.2 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 37.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Broncos defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • In regards to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Bengals profiles as the worst in the league since the start of last season.
  • Chase Brown's 2.0 adjusted receptions per game this season reflects a significant reduction in his receiving talent over last season's 3.4 rate.
  • Chase Brown's 72.5% Adjusted Completion% this season reflects a meaningful diminishment in his receiving skills over last season's 87.0% rate.

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