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Chase Brown

Chase Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Chase Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-116/-116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -172 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -116.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 61.8% of their plays: the 2nd-highest rate on the slate this week.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals offense has played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the league (in a neutral context) this year, averaging 28.22 seconds per snap.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually lead to increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume.
  • The leading projections forecast Chase Brown to notch 5.3 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 95th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Chase Brown has been a key part of his team's offense, garnering a Target Share of 14.4% this year, which ranks him in the 94th percentile when it comes to running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Bengals being a massive -8.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense this year: 4th-fewest in football.
  • Chase Brown's 81.4% Adjusted Catch Rate this season represents an impressive diminishment in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 87.1% rate.
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, Cleveland's unit has been phenomenal this year, profiling as the 5th-best in the league.

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