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Chase Brown

Chase Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Cincinnati Bengals vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Chase Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-170/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -170.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bengals may throw the ball less in this game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup quarterback Joe Flacco.
  • This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Bengals, who are giant -7-point underdogs.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 68.4% of their plays: the greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to have 130.8 offensive plays called: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast Chase Brown to garner 8.0 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bengals have called the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a mere 53.7 plays per game.
  • When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the Bengals grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league this year.
  • Chase Brown's receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 87.1% to 76.2%.
  • The New England Patriots linebackers rank as the 4th-best unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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