My Account Log Out
 
 
Chase Brown

Chase Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Chase Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-154/+109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +150 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +109.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cincinnati Bengals may pass less in this contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup QB Joe Flacco.
  • This game's line indicates a throwing game script for the Bengals, who are -5.5-point underdogs.
  • The predictive model expects the Bengals to be the most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 66.9% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to have 133.7 plays on offense run: the most among all games this week.
  • The Steelers defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, enticing opposing teams to attempt the most passes in the league (40.7 per game) this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 53.1 plays per game.
  • The weatherman calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • The Bengals O-line ranks as the 3rd-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative influence on all pass game stats across the board.
  • Chase Brown's receiving reliability have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 87.0% to 74.3%.
  • The Steelers linebackers project as the best group of LBs in football this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™