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Chase Brown

Chase Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Cincinnati Bengals vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Chase Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bengals may throw the ball less in this week's contest (and call more carries) since they be rolling out backup quarterback Joe Flacco.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Bengals to pass on 65.8% of their opportunities: the highest clip on the slate this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-most plays run among all games this week at 134.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • In this game, Chase Brown is projected by the projection model to finish in the 95th percentile among running backs with 4.6 targets.
  • When talking about air yards, Chase Brown ranks in the towering 85th percentile among running backs this year, averaging a whopping 2.0 per game. (due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more notable than it appears since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have run the 6th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 52.6 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Chicago Bears, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 28.0 per game) this year.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line grades out as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all pass game stats across the board.
  • Chase Brown's 14.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season indicates a noteable reduction in his pass-catching skills over last season's 24.0 rate.
  • Chase Brown's ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 87.0% to 80.3%.

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