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Chase Brown

Chase Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Cincinnati Bengals vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Chase Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-117/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cincinnati Bengals may take to the air less in this week's game (and hand the ball off more) because they be rolling out backup quarterback Joe Flacco.
  • The projections expect the Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 63.4% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to see 132.0 plays on offense called: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • In this game, Chase Brown is predicted by the projection model to find himself in the 94th percentile when it comes to running backs with 4.5 targets.
  • Chase Brown has been a big part of his team's pass game, earning a Target Share of 12.0% this year, which puts him in the 86th percentile among running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is implied by the Bengals being a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • The 5th-fewest plays in football have been called by the Cincinnati Bengals this year (a mere 52.6 per game on average).
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Jets, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 30.6 per game) this year.
  • The Cincinnati offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • Chase Brown's 12.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season illustrates a meaningful reduction in his pass-catching skills over last season's 24.0 figure.

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