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Chase Brown

Chase Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Cincinnati Bengals vs Detroit Lions

Chase Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-118).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bengals will be forced to utilize backup QB Jake Browning in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

An extreme throwing game script is suggested by the Bengals being a big -10-point underdog in this game.

The projections expect the Bengals as the most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 66.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect Chase Brown to garner 4.1 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 90th percentile among running backs.

When talking about air yards, Chase Brown ranks in the lofty 92nd percentile among RBs this year, accruing a massive 5.0 per game. (because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more remarkable than it appears since most RBs average negative air yards).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Cincinnati Bengals are anticipated by the model to run just 61.5 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-lowest number among all teams this week.

The 2nd-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Bengals this year (just 48.2 per game on average).

Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Detroit Lions, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 29.8 per game) this year.

The Cincinnati Bengals O-line profiles as the 5th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing offense stats across the board.

Chase Brown has accumulated quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (15.0) this season than he did last season (24.0).

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