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Chase Brown

Chase Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Denver Broncos vs Cincinnati Bengals

Chase Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bengals will be rolling out backup QB Jake Browning in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

The Bengals are a big 7.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Bengals as the 4th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 63.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 130.2 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 37.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Broncos defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In regards to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Bengals profiles as the worst in the league since the start of last season.

Chase Brown's 11.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season signifies a noteable diminishment in his receiving proficiency over last season's 24.0 rate.

Chase Brown's 72.5% Adjusted Completion% this season reflects a meaningful diminishment in his receiving skills over last season's 87.0% rate.

Chase Brown's 4.1 adjusted yards per target this season represents a meaningful drop-off in his pass-catching talent over last season's 6.1 mark.

Chase Brown's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year conveys a remarkable decrease in his efficiency in the open field over last year's 5.6% figure.

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