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Chase Brown

Chase Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Chase Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-113/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 61.4% of their plays: the 5th-highest rate on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to call the 10th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.9 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually lead to increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume.
  • The leading projections forecast Chase Brown to notch 5.2 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 95th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Chase Brown has been a key part of his team's offense, garnering a Target Share of 14.4% this year, which ranks him in the 94th percentile when it comes to running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Bengals being a massive -8.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense this year: 4th-fewest in football.
  • Chase Brown's 81.4% Adjusted Catch Rate this season represents an impressive diminishment in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 87.1% rate.
  • Chase Brown rates as one of the least effective receivers in the NFL among running backs, averaging a lowly 5.46 adjusted yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 22nd percentile.
  • Chase Brown's talent in generating extra yardage have worsened this year, compiling a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 5.61 figure last year.

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