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Chase Brown

Chase Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Chase Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Bengals are underdogs in this week's contest, indicating more of a focus on throwing than their usual approach.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Bengals to pass on 65.8% of their opportunities: the 2nd-highest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Bengals offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 27.24 seconds per snap.
  • The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (38.5 per game) this year.
  • In this game, Chase Brown is expected by the predictive model to rank in the 94th percentile when it comes to RBs with 5.1 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bengals offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
  • Chase Brown's 77.4% Adjusted Completion% this year represents a significant decrease in his receiving talent over last year's 87.0% figure.
  • Chase Brown's 4.7 adjusted yards per target this year marks a meaningful regression in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 6.1 mark.
  • Chase Brown's skills in generating extra yardage have tailed off this year, notching a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 5.61 figure last year.
  • As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Baltimore's collection of safeties has been tremendous this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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