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Chase Brown

Chase Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Chase Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cincinnati Bengals may pass less in this contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup QB Joe Flacco.
  • This game's line indicates a throwing game script for the Bengals, who are -5.5-point underdogs.
  • The predictive model expects the Bengals to be the most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 66.9% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to have 133.7 plays on offense run: the most among all games this week.
  • The Steelers defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, enticing opposing teams to attempt the most passes in the league (40.7 per game) this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 53.1 plays per game.
  • The weatherman calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • The Bengals O-line ranks as the 3rd-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative influence on all pass game stats across the board.
  • Chase Brown's receiving reliability have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 87.0% to 74.3%.
  • Chase Brown's pass-game efficiency has declined this season, totaling just 4.56 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 6.12 figure last season.

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