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Chase Brown

Chase Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals

Chase Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 64.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 5th-most plays run among all games this week at 130.1 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The leading projections forecast Chase Brown to accrue 3.7 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 90th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Chase Brown has notched a colossal 5.0 air yards per game last year: 97th percentile when it comes to running backs. (That may not sound very overwhelming, but most RBs have negative air yards as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

Chase Brown slots into the 89th percentile for RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive usage) with a colossal 17.9 mark last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is suggested by the Bengals being a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

Opposing QBs have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense last year: 6th-fewest in the NFL.

The Cincinnati offensive line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL last year in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.

Chase Brown rates as one of the weakest RBs in the NFL at generating extra yardage in the passing game, averaging just 5.61 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year while checking in at the 14th percentile.

Last year, the imposing Cleveland Browns defense has surrendered a feeble 22.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing RBs: the 3rd-best in the league.

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