My Account Log Out

reorder

Chase Brown

Chase Brown Carries
Player Prop Week 4

Denver Broncos vs Cincinnati Bengals

Chase Brown Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-175/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -196 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -175.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 130.2 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

This week, Chase Brown is predicted by the predictive model to land in the 95th percentile among running backs with 17.8 carries.

After making up 63.8% of his team's run game usage last year, Chase Brown has been called on more in the ground game this year, now making up 80.7%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bengals will be rolling out backup QB Jake Browning in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

The Bengals are a big 7.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to run on 36.3% of their plays: the lowest rate among all teams this week.

The Denver Broncos safeties project as the 6th-best safety corps in football since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

More Chase Brown Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™