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Chase Brown

Chase Brown Carries
Player Prop Week 2

Cincinnati Bengals vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Chase Brown Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread indicates a rushing game script for the Bengals, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • In this contest, Chase Brown is predicted by the projections to place in the 93rd percentile when it comes to running backs with 17.4 carries.
  • Our trusted projections expect Chase Brown to be a much bigger part of his team's run game in this game (76.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (65.6% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to run on 36.3% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 125.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may drop.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars safeties rank as the 4th-best collection of safeties in football since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

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