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Chase Brown

Chase Brown Carries
Player Prop Week 17

Cincinnati Bengals vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Chase Brown Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+110/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ +108 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread suggests an extreme rushing game script for the Bengals, who are a massive favorite by 7 points.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Bengals are projected by our trusted projection set to run 67.2 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-highest number among all teams this week.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being predicted in this game) usually mean decreased passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and increased run volume.
  • The predictive model expects Chase Brown to notch 14.5 carries in this game, on average, putting him in the 80th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • The Arizona defensive ends grade out as the 4th-worst unit in the NFL this year in regard to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to run on 38.5% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast Chase Brown to be much less involved in his team's rushing attack this week (56.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (66.8% in games he has played).

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