Chase Brown Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-118).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
This game's line suggests a running game script for the Bengals, who are favored by 3.5 points.
The model projects Chase Brown to notch 12.5 carries in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 75th percentile among running backs.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 3rd-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 37.6% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bengals are predicted by the projection model to call just 61.2 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.
The predictive model expects Chase Brown to be a less important option in his team's run game in this game (54.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (67.3% in games he has played).
The Miami Dolphins linebackers grade out as the 6th-best LB corps in the league this year in regard to run defense.
