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Chase Brown

Chase Brown Carries
Player Prop Week 13

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Chase Brown Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the projection model to see 129.7 offensive plays called: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • This week, Chase Brown is predicted by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 75th percentile when it comes to RBs with 12.8 carries.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bengals are a giant 7.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Bengals to run on 33.6% of their plays: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The 7th-smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Bengals this year (a measly 54.2 per game on average).
  • The model projects Chase Brown to be a much smaller piece of his offense's ground game in this week's contest (59.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (71.9% in games he has played).
  • As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Baltimore's group of DTs has been outstanding this year, grading out as the 5th-best in the league.

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