|
|
Chase Brown Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+123/-145).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -143 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -145.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
|
|
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to have 130.8 offensive plays called: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.The projections expect Chase Brown to total 16.4 rush attempts in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 84th percentile when it comes to running backs.Out of all running backs, Chase Brown ranks in the 98th percentile for carries this year, making up 70.5% of the workload in his offense's run game.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
|
|
The Bengals may throw the ball less in this game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup quarterback Joe Flacco.This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Bengals, who are giant -7-point underdogs.The model projects the Bengals to be the least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 31.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.The Bengals have called the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a mere 53.7 plays per game.As it relates to the safeties' role in stopping the run, New England's unit has been fantastic this year, grading out as the best in the NFL.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
