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Chase Brown Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-100/-130).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -100.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to have 133.7 plays on offense run: the most among all games this week.The weatherman calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.The leading projections forecast Chase Brown to earn 16.6 carries in this contest, on average, putting him in the 85th percentile when it comes to RBs.Among all RBs, Chase Brown ranks in the 96th percentile for rush attempts this year, making up 67.9% of the workload in his team's rushing attack.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Cincinnati Bengals may pass less in this contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup QB Joe Flacco.This game's line indicates a throwing game script for the Bengals, who are -5.5-point underdogs.The projections expect the Bengals as the least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 33.1% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 53.1 plays per game.When it comes to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Pittsburgh's collection of DEs has been very good this year, profiling as the 6th-best in the league.
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