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Charlie Kolar

Charlie Kolar Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Charlie Kolar Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1050/-4900).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -2000 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -4900.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 129.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Since the start of last season, the feeble Chiefs pass defense has yielded a monstrous 80.1% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the 3rd-worst rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Ravens to pass on 53.4% of their downs: the 4th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 8th-most run-centric offense in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 46.5% red zone run rate.
  • The lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Baltimore Ravens since the start of last season (a lowly 55.0 per game on average).
  • With a dismal 1.6% Red Zone Target Share (22nd percentile) since the start of last season, Charlie Kolar stands as one of the TEs with the highest volume near the goal line in the NFL.
  • Since the start of last season, the tough Kansas City Chiefs defense has allowed a measly 0.25 passing TDs per game to opposing tight ends: the 5th-smallest rate in the league.

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