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Charlie Kolar Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Baltimore Ravens vs New York Jets

Charlie Kolar Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+770/-940).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -880 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -940.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 128.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

With an impressive ratio of 0.29 per game through the air (75th percentile), Charlie Kolar has been as one of the leading receiving TD-scorers in the league among TEs this year.

This year, the porous New York Jets defense has given up a colossal 0.70 receiving touchdowns per game to opposing tight ends: the 2nd-worst rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme running game script is implied by the Ravens being a heavy 14-point favorite in this week's contest.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Ravens to pass on 48.9% of their plays: the lowest rate among all teams this week.

The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 6th-most run-heavy team in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 48.3% red zone run rate.

The Baltimore Ravens have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 51.8 plays per game.

The Baltimore offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

More Charlie Kolar Player Props

Charlie Kolar TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 12

Baltimore Ravens vs New York Jets

Charlie Kolar Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12