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Charlie Kolar Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens

Charlie Kolar Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1050/-1450).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1500 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1450.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to see 132.7 offensive plays called: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.

Charlie Kolar's ball-catching skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 79.7% to 87.6%.

With an excellent ratio of 0.33 per game through the air (81st percentile), Charlie Kolar stands among the leading receiving TD-scorers in the NFL when it comes to TEs this year.

Opposing teams have rushed for the 2nd-fewest touchdowns in the NFL (0.33 per game) against the Browns defense this year.

The Browns defensive ends grade out as the best group of DEs in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7.5-point advantage, the Ravens are a huge favorite this week, indicating much more of a focus on rushing than their standard approach.

The model projects the Ravens as the least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 48.9% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Right now, the 5th-most run-focused offense in football in the red zone (48.2% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Ravens.

The 3rd-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Baltimore Ravens this year (a lowly 51.6 per game on average).

The weather report calls for 24-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

More Charlie Kolar Player Props

Charlie Kolar TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 11

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens

Charlie Kolar Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11