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Charlie Kolar

Charlie Kolar Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Charlie Kolar Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
  • Charlie Kolar has been used less as a potential target this year (21.4% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (11.1%).
  • This year, the poor Steelers pass defense has conceded a colossal 80.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 4th-largest rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a running game script.
  • The model projects the Ravens as the 4th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 52.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • At a massive 30.21 seconds per snap, the Ravens offense comes in as the 3rd-slowest paced in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year.
  • The Ravens offensive line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • With a paltry 1.0 adjusted catches per game (15th percentile) this year, Charlie Kolar rates as one of the worst TE receiving threats in the NFL.

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