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Charlie Kolar

Charlie Kolar Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Charlie Kolar Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to see 129.7 total plays run: the 5th-most on the slate this week.
  • Charlie Kolar has gone out for fewer passes this season (22.7% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (11.1%).
  • When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Cincinnati's group of LBs has been easily exploitable this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a giant 7.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • The predictive model expects the Ravens as the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 50.0% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The 2nd-fewest plays in football have been called by the Baltimore Ravens this year (a measly 52.0 per game on average).
  • When it comes to protecting the passer (and the ramifications it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Baltimore Ravens grades out as the 6th-worst in football this year.
  • Charlie Kolar is positioned as one of the worst TEs in the pass game this year, averaging just 1.0 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 14th percentile when it comes to TEs.

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