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Charlie Kolar

Charlie Kolar Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Charlie Kolar Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+130/-156).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With an outstanding 12.1 adjusted yards per target (98th percentile) this year, Charlie Kolar stands among the leading pass-game tight ends in the NFL.
  • With a fantastic 4.22 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (89th percentile) since the start of last season, Charlie Kolar ranks as one of the best pass-game TEs in football in the open field.
  • This year, the shaky Patriots defense has given up a massive 64.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing tight ends: the 6th-worst in football.
  • The Patriots pass defense has been gouged for the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (77.5%) to TEs this year (77.5%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a running game script.
  • The model projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 4th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 51.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the model to have just 127.0 total plays called: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Baltimore Ravens have called the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 51.9 plays per game.
  • The Baltimore Ravens O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative influence on all passing attack stats across the board.

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